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  • IDSR Epidemiological Bulletin – Week 27.

    IDSR Epidemiological Bulletin – Week 27.

    IDSR Bulletin Dashboard – Week 27, 2026

    Weekly IDSR Bulletin

    Epidemiological Week 27 (29 June – 5 July, 2026)

    Status: Official Release Published: July 15, 2026

    Editorial Team

    Dr. Matthews Kagoli
    Mrs. Flora Dimba
    Mr. Settie Kanyanda
    Mr. Austin Zgambo
    Mr. Selemani Ngwira
    Mr. James Jere
    Mr. Noel Khunga
    Mr. Vincent Kamforzi
    Mr. Lwitikano Kaira
    Mrs. Ella Chamanga
    COMPLETENESS
    95.0%
    TIMELINESS
    80.0%
    MALARIA
    18,603
    EBS SIGNALS
    48
    TYPHOID
    42
    CHOLERA (S)
    0

    I. Performance & Surveillance

    Reporting Completeness & Timeliness Analysis

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    The national reporting performance for Epidemiological Week 27 has registered a stable completeness rate of 95.0% (remaining unchanged from Week 26). However, reporting timeliness on the One Health Surveillance Platform (OHSP) experienced a sharp drop, sliding from 93.0% in Week 26 down to 80.0% in Week 27. This sudden slide highlights mounting subnational administrative friction and clinical platform entry bottlenecks, reducing the timeliness of integrated alert tracking across the territory.

    At the subnational level, completeness remains high. All health zones and Central Hospitals successfully met the minimum target of 80% completeness (Central East, Central West, South West, and Central Hospitals all achieved 100.0%, while North achieved 92.2% and South East achieved 98.2%). However, timeliness parameters revealed severe regressions: Central Hospitals reached only 50.0% timeliness, and the South East Zone registered only 70.2% timeliness, both failing to meet the national minimum threshold of 80%.

    At the district reporting level, out of the 33 designated national reporting sites, 24 (73%) successfully achieved the target of 80% or greater on both surveillance metrics. Key sites failing specific thresholds have changed in Week 27. Districts including Nkhotakota, Machinga, Nsanje, Zomba, Mzuzu Central Hospital, and Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital failed to surpass reporting timeliness targets. Additionally, Likoma (100.0% completeness, 33.0% timeliness), Balaka (100.0% completeness, 48.0% timeliness), and Rumphi (94.0% completeness, 50.0% timeliness) failed to meet the minimum target for both completeness and timeliness metrics.

    To reverse this operational lag and preserve optimal platform sensitivity, the National IDSR Secretariat directs immediate remedial measures. IDSR coordinators and Zonal Epidemiology Officers must ensure timely verification and validation of clinical data immediately after facility focal points submit weekly forms. District Health Officers in underperforming zones, particularly Likoma, Balaka, Rumphi, Nkhotakota, Machinga, Nsanje, Zomba, Mzuzu CH, and QECH, must implement administrative audits to eliminate data entry delays and platform entry bottlenecks.

    II. Disease Morbidity

    Malaria Morbidity & Mortality

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    Malaria continues to stand as the dominant clinical and priority condition under active surveillance in Malawi, with Epidemiological Week 27 recording a national burden of Confirmed cases totaling 18,603 (including OPD and IPD cases) alongside 1 associated inpatient death. High-burden districts represent key transmission hotspots requiring continuous vector control monitoring, particularly Chikwawa DHO (1,880 cases), Mangochi DHO (1,843 cases), Blantyre DHO (1,497 cases), and Lilongwe DHO (1,109 cases).

    When contrasted with the preceding baseline in Epidemiological Week 26, the malaria data reveals an encouraging decrease of 8.67% in weekly cases (dropping from 20,369 down to 18,603 cases). Most significantly, confirmed inpatient deaths declined from 5 in Week 26 to 1 in Week 27, suggesting stable therapeutic timing and rapid response by clinical case management teams across central facilities during this cycle.

    To sustain this downward transmission trend and prevent fatal outcomes, we recommend that the National Malaria Control Program continues to coordinate antimalarial supply chain audits to ensure uninterrupted stocks of ACTs and RDTs. Clinical supervisors should conduct a rigorous mortality audit on the single recorded death to ensure therapeutic timing protocols were met. Concurrently, Health Surveillance Assistants (HSAs) must continue scale up community awareness campaigns emphasizing early care-seeking behaviors for febrile illnesses.

    Enteric Diseases (Typhoid & Diarrhoea)

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    The surveillance of waterborne enteric pathogens in Epidemiological Week 27 has flagged persistent transmission risks. Waterborne enteric diseases remain highly prevalent, with Diarrhoea with blood (Bloody Diarrhoea) cases recorded at 663 and Typhoid fever cases recorded at 42 (OPD and IPD Typhoid cases). Waterborne disease transmission remains a persistent threat, demanding a rapid transition from passive clinical tracking to active environmental health interventions.

    When compared to the baseline figures from Epidemiological Week 26, the enteric profile shows a mixed trajectory. Typhoid fever cases decreased by 10.6%, declining from 47 cases in Week 26 down to 42 cases in Week 27. Conversely, Bloody Diarrhoea cases rose slightly, moving from 629 cases to 663 cases. Geographically, a notable concentration of Typhoid cases remains localized within Mchinji DHO (25 cases) and Lilongwe DHO (9 cases), representing the primary share of the national enteric load in Week 27.

    Based on these findings, we recommend that Blantyre and Mchinji DHOs implement targeted interventions against Typhoid being reported in the districts. Stool and blood cultures must be collected from suspected cases to monitor potential antimicrobial resistance patterns and guide precise therapy. Concurrently, environmental health officers must implement localized water treatment protocols, distribute chlorine solutions, and conduct hygiene sanitization campaigns to break enteric transmission chains.

    III. Critical Alerts & Mortality

    Cholera and Mpox Status

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    Epidemiological Week 27 recorded zero (0) new suspected cholera cases, zero (0) new confirmed cases, and zero (0) deaths, reflecting strong containment. On the zoonotic disease front, Mpox surveillance detected zero (0) new confirmed cases and two (2) alerts. This keeps the cumulative national total stable at 158 confirmed cases and 4 cross-border cases since the outbreak began in April 2025. Lilongwe district represents 75.8% (119 cases) of the national load with a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.63% (1 death on 10 August 2025).

    A comparison with Epidemiological Week 26 shows that Cholera suspected cases dropped from 1 in Week 26 to 0 in Week 27. Since the season started on 1 November 2025, Malawi has recorded a cumulative total of 3,009 cholera cases, including 319 laboratory-confirmed cases and 460 epidemiologically linked cases, alongside 5 deaths (CFR 0.65%). Geographically, 26 of Malawi’s 29 districts have reported at least one suspected case. Meanwhile, Mpox transmission remained completely silent, matching the zero confirmed case baseline from the previous week.

    To maintain this Cholera downward trend, the National Incident Management System must continue to direct emergency water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) resources to high-incidence hotspots. Oral Cholera Vaccine (OCV) campaigns in selected hotspot districts have achieved a total of 612,477 doses administered (101.3% coverage). For Mpox, District Rapid Response Teams (DRRTs) must remain alert, enforcing active cross-border screening and coordinating with Mozambique and Tanzania to ensure immediate detection of any imported cases.

    SARI & Respiratory Mortality

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    Severe Acute Respiratory Infections (SARI) presented 82 clinical cases and zero (0) inpatient deaths during Epidemiological Week 27. The severe respiratory burden continues to affect central districts, with Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) reporting 40 SARI cases (48.8% of the national load). Other districts with active respiratory caseloads include Nkhotakota DHO (7 cases), Neno DHO (7 cases), and Dowa DHO (6 cases). This concentration highlights the need for continuous sentinel respiratory surveillance and clinical preparedness in tertiary facilities.

    When evaluated against the preceding baseline in Epidemiological Week 26, the SARI surveillance data displays a slight upward shift in morbidity but positive progress in clinical mortality. National SARI cases rose from 71 cases in Week 26 to 82 cases in Week 27. Concurrently, SARI-associated deaths fell from 1 down to 0. This lack of clinical mortality is encouraging, yet clinical teams must remain highly vigilant to identify and respond to seasonal respiratory pathogens, such as Influenza A/B or RSV.

    We recommend that clinical teams at Kamuzu Central Hospital and other sentinel hospitals continue to systematically collect nasopharyngeal swabs from SARI patients for PCR diagnostic analysis. Healthcare facilities must ensure that pediatric oxygen delivery systems, clinical nebulizers, and essential respiratory therapeutics remain fully functional. Furthermore, clinicians must continue to document and report SARI cases on the OHSP, allowing public health teams to identify and respond to any new respiratory anomalies quickly.

    IV. Vaccine Preventable Diseases

    Measles & VPD Surveillance Distribution

    Detailed Bulletin Analysis

    Vaccine-Preventable Disease (VPD) surveillance remains a high-priority public health activity. In Week 27, Malawi reported 73 new suspected measles alerts, bringing the cumulative alerts to 1,690 with 695 confirmed measles-rubella cases in 2026. Cumulative laboratory-confirmed cases are distributed across 24 districts, with Balaka reporting the highest proportion at 20.9% (80 cases) and Nsanje at 17.8% (68 cases). Under the IDSR framework, Acute Flaccid Paralysis (AFP) surveillance recorded 0 cases, and Meningococcal meningitis recorded 12 cases (with 0 deaths), highlighting the need for active case searching.

    When compared to Epidemiological Week 26, weekly Measles alerts rose slightly, moving from 69 cases to 73 cases. AFP alerts fell from 5 cases in Week 26 to 0 cases in Week 27. Conversely, suspected Meningococcal meningitis cases rose slightly, moving from 9 cases in Week 26 up to 12 cases in Week 27, requiring immediate laboratory verification. Polio outbreak containment remains a high priority following the confirmation of 16 environmental sewage isolates since January 2026, with Round 3 of the nOPV2 campaign completed, achieving 105% coverage.

    We recommend that the Expanded Programme on Immunisation (EPI) continues targeting high-burden districts, particularly Balaka, Nsanje, and Chikwawa, with supplemental vaccination and outreach, while Dedza and Machinga districts require close monitoring. For vaccine safety parameters, district surveillance networks must coordinate with national labs. To prevent poliovirus spread, active community-level surveillance must be prioritized alongside preparations for subsequent vaccination campaigns, and the measles situation in Balaka district must receive focused attention.

    V. Summary of Recommendations

    1. Reporting Quality & District Targets

    Rumphi, Balaka, and Likoma DHOs must implement immediate data validation procedures to improve completeness and timeliness back to target levels of greater than or equal to 80%, while Nkhotakota, Machinga, Nsanje, Zomba, Mzuzu Central Hospital, and Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital must focus specifically on timeliness.

    2. Enteric & Outbreak Targeted Interventions

    Blantyre and Mchinji DHOs are directed to implement targeted interventions against Typhoid fever being reported in the districts, while Balaka, Chikwawa, and Nsanje districts must receive focused attention regarding their measles situation. Nkhata-bay DHO should investigate community-reported signals.

    3. AEFI Safety Investigation

    Mzimba-North district is directed to perform a detailed vaccine safety investigation on the 35 reported Adverse Events Following Immunization (AEFI) out of 64 nationally to maintain high community trust in routine childhood immunizations.

    Official Documentation

    Access the full PDF bulletin for Epidemiological Week 27, 2026, including detailed district-level performance tables and data annexes. You can verify and cross-reference these statistics in the official document named IDSR Epi Bulletin_Week 27_Malawi.pdf.

    Authored & Published By

    Moses Nyambalo Phiri

    Public Health Institute of Malawi

    Ministry of Health, Republic of Malawi

  • PHIM Enhances Chitipa and Karonga Preparedness and response capability for Cholera, Mpox, and Marburg.

    PHIM Enhances Chitipa and Karonga Preparedness and response capability for Cholera, Mpox, and Marburg.

    Cholera, Mpox, and Marburg Training.

    Chitipa, Malawi – March 7th, 2025.
    by
    Moses Nyambalo Phiri in collaboration with Chriswell Nkoloma and Settie Kanyanda.

    In a proactive approach to enhance the country’s response to public health emergencies, the Public Health Institute of Malawi (PHIM), with support from AMREF, conducted crucial training sessions in  Karonga and Chitipa districts. These sessions focused on cholera, Mpox, and Marburg.

    These activities aim to ensure that healthcare workers can effectively manage cases, strengthen surveillance and contact tracing, improve laboratory diagnostics, and educate communities on preventive measures for Mpox, Marburg, and Cholera.

    From May 6th to 7th, 2025, Public Health Emergency Management Committees and District Rapid Response Teams in the two districts were refreshed on their roles and responsibilities. Subsequently, from May 8th to 14th, frontline healthcare workers, including clinicians, nurses, health surveillance assistants, laboratory staff, and data clerks, received specialized training on sample collection, clinical case management, data reporting etc.

    Mr. Chriwell Nkoloma presenting on Mpox Global Overview and Malawi Situation to the Chitipa DRRT.

    Hester Mkwinda Nyasulu, Amref Country Director – Malawi.
  • Mpox Situation in Malawi.

    Mpox Situation in Malawi.

    Mpox Situation in Malawi – Comprehensive Analysis
    Mpox Issue 73 | Current Status

    Epidemiological
    Intelligence

    Surveillance Update: 20th January, 2026

    PUBLISHED BY

    Moses Nyambalo Phiri

    Executive Case Briefing

    On 18th January 2026, the Public Health Institute of Malawi confirmed a new case in Salima District involving an 18-year-old female. This diagnostic confirmation, occurring 12 days after the initial hospital presentation, underscores the vital importance of molecular validation in managing the current outbreak, which has now accumulated 148 confirmed cases.

    148

    National Total

    01

    New Salima Case

    Clinical presentation of suspected Mpox lesions
    Primary Symptom: Characteristic Cutaneous Lesions

    Fig A: Typical clinical presentation observed in recent Central Region cases.

    Operational Response & Data Insights

    District Sentinel Analysis

    The notification from Salima District hospital on January 6th, followed by PCR confirmation on the 18th, highlights a critical window for containment. The Salima District Rapid Response Team (DRRT) has prioritized contact tracing around this 18-year-old female, who represents a significant demographic shift as younger populations increasingly become points of entry for the virus in rural settings.

    Operationally, the focus is now on “Ring Surveillance.” By mapping the patient’s interactions within the 21-day incubation period, the DRRT is effectively creating a safety perimeter. This prevents the transition from a sporadic case to a localized cluster, which is essential given Salima’s role as a transit and tourism hub that could easily facilitate cross-district transmission.

    One Health Surveillance Matrix

    The activation of the Incident Management System (IMS) signifies a transition to high-alert status. This multisectoral One Health approach is critical because it integrates human clinical data with animal health monitoring. Understanding the zoonotic potential of Mpox in Malawi is key to identifying the environmental reservoirs that might be driving these persistent “sporadic” infections across different districts.

    Furthermore, the IMS structure allows for real-time resource reallocation. As shown in the surveillance matrix, deployment of functional Rapid Response Teams (RRTs) is not static; it follows the trajectory of new confirmations. The training of National Emergency Medical Teams ensures that the surge capacity is prepared for any sudden spikes in severity or volume that may arise as the virus moves through the lake-shore communities.

    Diagnostic Efficiency Trends

    Diagnostic integrity is the cornerstone of the Malawi Mpox response. The PCR-based testing of lesion swabs provides the definitive evidence needed to trigger public health interventions. While the turnaround time for the Salima case reflects the logistical challenges of sample transport from district to central labs, the successful confirmation demonstrates a robust end-to-end diagnostic pipeline that can handle highly infectious specimens.

    Looking forward, the focus is on reducing the “symptom-to-confirmation” latency. By empowering district-level human and animal health workers through advanced training, PHIM aims to improve early suspicion and immediate sample collection. This diagnostic intelligence ensures that clinical management, including isolation and symptomatic treatment, begins at the earliest possible stage, significantly improving patient outcomes and reducing secondary attack rates.

    Specialized Mpox Isolation Units

    Containment Strategy: Infrastructure & Resilience

    The strategic deployment of dedicated Mpox Isolation Units is a vital component of Malawi’s health system resilience. By physically separating Mpox management from general medical wards, PHIM effectively mitigates the risk of nosocomial transmission. These units are not merely physical structures; they represent a specialized clinical ecosystem equipped with advanced waste management protocols and high-frequency disinfection cycles, ensuring that healthcare workers remain protected while delivering intensive supportive care.

    Beyond the immediate benefit of containment, these facilities foster clinical excellence through specialization. Staff assigned to these units are trained in specific lesion care, pain management, and the identification of secondary bacterial infections. This concentrated expertise is particularly crucial for younger patients, such as the 18-year-old from Salima, ensuring they receive evidence-based care in a dignifying and safe environment that prioritizes both physical recovery and community protection.

    Macro-Level Data Analysis

    1. Cumulative Geographic Burden (n=148)

    The distribution of 148 laboratory-confirmed cases reveals a persistent, low-intensity spread that spans across multiple regions. While large urban centers initially dominated the statistics, the recent case in Salima demonstrates that the virus is successfully exploiting mobility corridors. This geographic burden analysis suggests that surveillance cannot be localized; rather, a nationwide “blanket” surveillance approach is necessary to capture infections in districts that may not have high healthcare-seeking behavior but are nonetheless at risk.

    Strategically, this data indicates that the 148 cases represent only the “tip of the iceberg.” For every confirmed case, there is a statistical likelihood of sub-clinical or asymptomatic cases within the community. Public health efforts are therefore prioritizing districts with high population density and frequent transit, using this geographic data to allocate diagnostic kits and protective equipment where they are most likely to encounter the next “sentinel” case.

    2. National Epicurve & Temporal Dynamics

    The national epicurve illustrates the temporal progression of the outbreak since April 2025. Unlike explosive outbreaks, Mpox in Malawi exhibits a “smoldering” pattern, with sporadic cases occurring regularly over several months. The confirmation of Case 148 in late January 2026 confirms that the transmission cycle has not been broken. This trend analysis is vital for predicting seasonal peaks and ensuring that the healthcare system is prepared for sustained engagement rather than a short-term emergency response.

    Mathematically, the presence of the Salima case on the tail end of this curve suggests that the virus remains endemic in certain reservoirs. The epicurve analysis informs our Risk Communication and Community Engagement (RCCE) strategies—shifting from high-volume general awareness to targeted, behavior-change messaging in districts showing new activity. Constant vigilance is required to ensure that this smoldering trend does not ignite into a large-scale resurgence as environmental and social conditions fluctuate.

    Preventative Clinical Directives

    Public Safety Protocols

    • Zero Contact: Avoid all skin-to-skin contact with individuals presenting unexplained rashes or blisters.
    • Sanitization: Mandatory hand hygiene with soap and water or alcohol-based sanitizers in all public transit hubs.
    • Immediate Reporting: Any individual with fever and rash must report to the nearest health facility within 24 hours.

    Surveillance Mandate

    Following the Salima case, PHIM has mandated enhanced surveillance for all district hospitals. Health workers are directed to treat all “Fever + Rash” presentations as suspected Mpox until PCR results prove otherwise. This high-index of suspicion is our primary defense against widespread community transmission.