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Day: November 23, 2025

  • IDSR Epidemiological Bulletin – Week 46.

    IDSR Epidemiological Bulletin – Week 46.

    Malawi IDSR Infographic (Week 46, 2025)

    Editorial Team

    Dr. Matthews Kagoli Mrs. Mtisunge Yelewa Mr. Austin Zgambo Mr. Sikhona Chipeta Mr. James Jere Mr. Noel Khunga

    Weekly IDSR Bulletin

    Epidemiological Week 46 (10-16 November, 2025)

    Published By

    Moses Nyambalo Phiri

    Public Health Institute of Malawi

    National Surveillance Performance

    The Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) system continues to perform strongly. In Week 46, reporting completeness reached 94.8%. However, Central Hospitals significantly underperformed at 50%, highlighting a critical need for data integration support at tertiary facilities.

    Reporting Completeness
    94.8%
    +0.4% vs Week 45
    Reporting Timeliness
    91.9%
    -2.4% vs Week 45
    Performance Analysis The Central West zone achieved near-perfect scores (99.4% completeness), while the North Zone maintained high standards (98.0%). The drop in timeliness suggests potential logistical or connectivity challenges in specific districts that need addressing.

    Priority Disease Alerts

    Malaria remains the highest burden (20,796 cases, 16 deaths). Notably, Rabies alerts saw a significant rise to 11 suspected cases this week.

    Alert Insights Diarrhoea with blood cases slightly decreased to 1,077 but remain high. SARI cases increased to 65 with 4 deaths, reinforcing the need for respiratory surveillance. Meningitis cases also rose slightly to 7.

    Outbreak Spotlight: Mpox

    Surveillance remains active with 3 new confirmed cases and 40 suspected alerts in Week 46. The cumulative confirmed total is now 139.

    Epidemic Curve

    Trend Analysis While the major wave has subsided, the occurrence of 3 new cases indicates persistent low-level transmission. Continued vigilance and contact tracing are essential to prevent a resurgence.

    Demographic Impact

    Recovery Status 131 cases (94.2%) have successfully recovered. Currently, active management involves isolating confirmed cases to break chains of transmission.

    Outbreak Spotlight: Measles

    Measles outbreaks are evolving. While Balaka remains the epicenter, Machinga and Nsanje have seen increases in case numbers (24 and 22 respectively). Total cases: 126.

    Geographic Clusters

    Hotspots The rise in cases in Nsanje (22) and Machinga (24) signals widening local transmission in the Southern region, requiring intensified vaccination campaigns.

    Vaccination Status

    Data Gap The majority of cases still have unknown vaccination status. Strengthening routine immunization data capture is critical for outbreak analysis.

    Event-Based Surveillance (EBS)

    39 signals were reported this week. The risk profile has diversified, now identifying events classified as Very High Risk (2) and Very Low Risk (1).

    1

    Detection

    39 signals reported (Decrease from 49 in Wk 45).

    2

    Verification

    9 signals (23.1%) verified as genuine public health events.

    3

    Response

    2 Very High Risk events identified requiring urgent intervention.

    Risk Profile Breakdown

    Signal Triage 30 signals (77%) remain unclassified. The presence of “Very High” risk signals emphasizes the importance of the verification process.
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